ISLAMABAD: Faster transport routes under the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) are creating new opportunities for Pakistan’s fruit exporters, with experts saying the country could significantly expand mango and horticulture exports to China if long-standing infrastructure issues are resolved.
Speaking to Wealth Pakistan, international agri-food systems expert Dr Zaffar Mehmood said China’s growing demand for imported fruit, combined with shorter delivery times through CPEC routes, could help Pakistan increase its share in one of the world’s largest consumer markets.
Pakistan produces around 1.4 million tonnes of mangoes annually and ranks among the top five mango-producing countries globally. However, only a small percentage of total production is exported despite strong demand from international buyers.
Dr Mehmood said Pakistan’s mango exports to China have exceeded 115,000 tonnes in recent years, but there is still major untapped potential in the Chinese market.
Industry estimates suggest Pakistan could earn between $200 million and $400 million annually from fruit exports to China within the next five years if supply chain systems improve. The Pakistan Fruit Exporters Association and Pakistan Horticulture Development & Export Company have also projected growth in mango export earnings over the coming years.
Faster CPEC routes reduce delivery time for exporters
According to Dr Mehmood, the overland route from Lahore to Kashgar now takes seven to 10 days, making it more suitable for transporting perishable fruits compared to sea freight.
The year-round opening of the Khunjerab Pass has also improved trade continuity between Pakistan and China, particularly for agricultural products.
Despite the improved connectivity, experts say Pakistan still faces major logistical challenges, including the shortage of cold storage facilities, refrigerated transport and modern pack houses needed for large-scale fruit exports.
Climate pressures affecting mango production
Dr Mehmood said climate-related factors have reduced mango production in recent years, with Punjab recording a decline of 35% to 40% and Sindh around 20%.
He added that post-harvest losses remain high, with nearly 30% of produce failing to reach markets because of weak infrastructure and handling systems.
Along with mangoes, the expert highlighted export potential for apricots, cherries and dried fruits from Gilgit-Baltistan due to the region’s close trade links with China’s Xinjiang province.
Also read: Pakistan, China move ahead on CPEC Phase II, expand economic and tech cooperation
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