A FUTURE DENIED: HOW PAKISTAN IS FAILING ITS CHILDREN

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A country’s priorities are written into its budget long before they become visible in its future. They can be seen in the classrooms its children enter, the laboratories its students inherit, and the opportunities available to a young person whose family cannot afford to buy a better future. By this measure, Pakistan’s education crisis is not merely a shortage of money. It is a national failure to recognise that the country’s greatest resource is its people, and that this resource cannot develop without sustained public investment.

Consider the difference in spending on education. The United States spends approximately $17,000 annually per student in public schools, while Pakistan’s public spending on education is estimated at roughly $200 per child a year, depending on the level of education and the method of calculation. The contrast is stark. A typical American public high school with 2,000 students would receive approximately $34 million annually at that average spending level, equivalent to around Rs9 billion. Pakistan’s entire Higher Education Commission allocation for FY2026-27 is Rs66.4 billion for a national university system serving millions of students. The comparison involves different education systems and funding responsibilities, but it reveals the extraordinary scale of the investment gap.

Pakistan spends around 2% of its GDP on education, far below the international benchmark of 4 to 6% advocated in UNESCO’s Education 2030 framework. The United States, Germany, Finland and the United Kingdom devote substantially larger shares of their national resources to education. These differences cannot, by themselves, explain the economic performance of individual countries. They do, however, reflect how seriously governments treat the development of human capabilities. Countries that have built competitive economies have generally understood that schools, universities and research institutions are not simply public expenses. They are the foundations of productivity, innovation and social mobility.

South Korea offers a particularly instructive example. Emerging from war and widespread poverty, it invested heavily in universal schooling, expanded secondary education and gradually developed a sophisticated system of technical training and research. Its subsequent rise in manufacturing, electronics and advanced technology was not accidental. Education alone did not produce its economic transformation, but the country could not have achieved that transformation without an educated workforce. Pakistan, by contrast, continues to discuss the knowledge economy while denying its institutions the resources needed to create one.

The crisis begins well before university. Pakistan has an estimated 20 million children out of school, among the highest numbers in the world. Behind this figure are children excluded by poverty, inadequate facilities, distance, social barriers and the poor quality of available schooling. For many families, education remains a daily struggle against economic necessity. A child who leaves school to earn money is not simply losing a year of learning. That child is losing future earning potential, while the country loses a worker whose skills could have contributed to its economy.

The damage continues into higher education. The Higher Education Commission reportedly sought Rs138 billion for FY2026-27 but received only Rs66.4 billion. Universities face rising operating costs, growing enrolments and pressure to retain qualified faculty. Inflation reduces the purchasing power of allocations that remain unchanged in nominal terms, while shortages affect research, laboratory equipment, academic journals and student support. Delayed scholarships and salary pressures further undermine confidence in institutions that should be preparing the next generation of scientists, teachers, engineers and public servants.

The consequences extend beyond university campuses. When talented graduates cannot find opportunities at home, they look abroad. When researchers lack laboratories and funding, promising work remains unfinished. When schools fail to provide basic learning, employers struggle to find workers with the skills a modern economy requires. Pakistan then spends scarce foreign exchange importing technology and expertise that a stronger education and research system could eventually help develop domestically. The country pays twice, first through inadequate investment and then through the economic costs of the capabilities it failed to build.

The fiscal argument against greater spending deserves scrutiny, but it cannot become a permanent excuse. Pakistan faces debt obligations, security pressures and competing demands on public resources. Yet every budget reflects choices about which responsibilities receive priority. Defence and national security are legitimate state obligations, but human development is also a component of national security. A country cannot achieve lasting stability if millions of its children remain outside school, its universities struggle to function and its young population enters adulthood without the skills needed to participate productively in the economy.

The answer is not to announce ambitious education targets and leave them unfunded. It is to establish a credible, phased plan to raise education spending, protect university funding from arbitrary cuts, improve teacher training, strengthen public schools and ensure that money reaches classrooms rather than disappearing into administrative inefficiency. Federal and provincial governments must publish measurable targets, assess learning outcomes and make officials accountable for results. More money is necessary, but spending it effectively is equally important.

Pakistan’s young population could become its greatest economic advantage. It could also become a source of prolonged unemployment, frustration and instability if education remains neglected. The difference will depend on decisions made today, not promises made for some distant future.

A nation does not impoverish itself only by spending too little. It also impoverishes itself by refusing to invest in what could make it prosperous. Pakistan’s children did not choose the budgets that determine their futures. Those choices belong to the people who govern them. If the country continues to spend too little on education, it should not be surprised when its children inherit too few opportunities. The most expensive failure is not educating a child. It is forcing an entire generation to live with the consequences of having been denied an education.

 

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