By Chaudhary Muhammad Faraz
The world is changing, there are clear signs and signals of the new world order setting in, countries in different regions are conspicuously realigning, strengthening and getting into defense deals, agreements and pacts with traditional or new powers.
The US dominated system is being replaced by a multipolar one, Characterized by a great power competition, rising regional or mid powers with shifting alliances and changing technical and economic dynamics which also include the advant and reliance on AI (Artificial Intelligence) and new regional supply chains, challenging and replacing the existing ones.
This change was gradual and consistent, which has reshaped the world’s preferences thus creating higher uncertainty and possibilities for both deeper collaborations and greater conflicts.
The emergence of strong mid-level powers have helped the regions having more control over security and trade, relying less on traditional western economic and power hubs. This has considerably shifted the power dynamics and made the west less dominant with greater influence shifting to the East or south of the Globe.
The above is also attributed by emergence of more resilient and accessible localized supply chains and growing reliance on AI (Artificial Intelligence) which is rapidly reshaping the structure of Power and productivity, having its own pros and cons.
Henceforth, the system with the old rules is seriously challenged by the new ambitious and interest based system pulling the old and new Key actors towards the game of Power, rivalry, alliances and struggle.
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In this scenario the traditional Paradox points towards the denial of US in accepting the change and sharing its global influence with China, Russia and other emerging regional mid-levels powers. USA’s veto to multipolarity has given birth to Trump’s corollary to the “Monroe Doctrine”, persuasion of which seems like a desperate attempt to cling to the status of a Sole Super Power. This approach and every effort made for its implementation by the US will further push the world towards 3rd world war.
The Trump administration insists upon elevating the western Hemisphere as a top security concern, aiming to counter Chinese and Russian influence, dis-mental narcotics Cartels and Cultural mass migration. It also emphasizes on strategic unilateralism, transactional diplomacy and Skepticism towards multilateral institutions, meaning “America First”. This policy is only about focusing on the Power dynamics with a view to prioritizing the US interests, and its national security over “democratic values” and “international cooperation”. On the other hand the US military strategy (under Trumps doctrine) is of deterrence, securing America’s energy independence and dominance, (energy security) and Selective disengagement i.e.; picking up conflicts and battles wisely which also includes pulling back From Certain International commitments and conflicts where US interests are not directly at stake (Afghanistan) to focus on priority areas like China (Indo-Pacific Region).
In addition, the Trump doctrine’s priority is to strengthen bilateral bonds with the state of Israel, placing The “Security” of Israel as the core US interest.
US doesn’t hesitate to amplify its commitment to preserving, Israel’s “qualitative edge” and “ability to defend itself”.
To create a secure environment in the region for Israeli interests, the US is rigorously expanding and pursuing “Abrahim Accords” in a bid to integrate Israel into the Arabs and the Muslim world, KSA being its Key target.
Recently, Europe has felt the jolt of Trump’s selective disengagement when the US declared its interest in acquiring the Greenland territory, Citing US National security concerns and presence of Russian and Chinese ships in the area. This move has led to tensions with Denmark and other European countries who view Trump as a threat to Nato’s unity and collective defense principle.
The US administration Under President Donald Trump considers NATO a liability and has repeatedly questioned the value of Nato, also suggesting that US should focus on its own interests rather than relying on collective defense. In other words, US is no longer interested in bearing the cost of NATO’s defense equipment. It has also left no choice for Denmark other than defending its independent territory of Greenland.
The Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederikson Said that an attack on Greenland will be Considered an attack on Denmark, referring to a 1952 directive to Danish forces to “shoot first and ask later”, making it clear to the US that in case of any hostility Denmark will open fire.
This will have implications for American and the western European alliances, Nato and the global economic System. Unlike the Latin American countries and Venesvella who scummed to the US aggression and blatant violation of International law and Sovereignty of an independent country, Iran has stood up to the Israeli created U.S pressure.
The similarity between Iran and Venesuella is that of abundance in oil rescues and good strong ties with one another. Both factors in direct contradiction with and jeoparding Trump’s policy agenda of “energy security” of the US and also challenging the impearlistic, expansionist and isolationist, hard power approach in case of the Iran. Furthermore, the twelve day war between Iran and Israel (from June 13 to June 24, 2025) when the latter attacked Iran unprovoked in a bid to neutralize its nuclear Capability but failed and got destroyed by a country, practically having no Air force to defend its air space. Upon insistence of Israel the US sent its B-52 bombers and allegedly neutralized the Iranian Nuclear Capability by destroying their nuclear sites in Fordow, Nantaz and Isfahan. Iran surprised the whole world when it showed its power through the Missile Program and its stock piling of the same.
The Israeli Iron Dome’s myth was sheltered with the US-Israel arrogance. This Iranian victory came with a price, the realization by the Israelis and the Americans that Iran established itself as a considerable mid power In the region with an advanced nuclear program and a super effective ballistic missile program, having hyper sonic missiles in its arsenal would only be curtailed through a regime change. This oil rich country with such potential and good ties with China. Venesvella, Russia and Pakistan doesn’t go well with the equation, the US and Israel have devised for the region.
Iran must be neutralized as per the US present policy and that is why there is chaos in the country, riots have erupted in almost 100 cities of Iran, all supported by the US. The country was practically infested with Indian and Israeli spys targeting the top Iranian Leadership almost at will. It is pertinent to mention here the recent Indo-Pak Stand off and India’s Crushing defeat by the Pakistan in a 4 day engagement in May 2025 which gave Pakistan a chance to identify the Indo-Israeli spy news in Iran and KSA, after which both the countries realized the game being played in the region unearthing and then eradicating the RAW and Mossad networks from their countries. That is how the Indian Raw’s role was exposed, which was working in Iran and KSA on the behest of Israel’s Mossad. It seems like the Government in Iran would fall to the typical tactics of a Power like USA supported by Israel in making the regime Change happen. The only problem that the US and Israel are facing is that the Iranian population may be against the present Iranian regime but they still do not support any entity backed by US or Israel as there is enough hatred and resentment among the Iranian masses for President Trump and Israel. So Raza Shah Pehlevi’s chances of coming back to power seem slim, however, someone covertly supported by the US may take over power in Iran but that needs to be seen. Presently US is considering attack options on Iran and in return Iran has threatened the US of attacking its sites in close proximity.
If this present regime in Iran falls, which seems likely, then it would create serious problems for Pakistan, exposing us to threats and hostility from 3 sides i.e.; India, Afghanistan and Iran. After Markka-e-Haq, Pakistan also emerged as a mid-Power in the region by impressively and decisively neutralizing India, which was USA’s and western nation’s safe bet to neutralize China. With Indian failure even to match the military potential of a much smaller Pakistan, serious questions arose on this bet the West, Israel the US placed an India, as it was proven that the Indians are no where near the Chinese military might and superior capability.
Presently, the Indians are being punished by their partners for letting them and their hopes down. Pakistan must consider this fact that the acknowledgement and praise from the world is for the victor who thrashed a ten time bigger rival supported by Israel, USA and rest of the western block, not for a Muslim Nation with nuclear capability which has established itself as a mid-level power in the region with Chinese support.
Besides, the US has made it clear that the support for Pakistan in 2026 depends upon it policies and behavior. USA’s stance is clear, it will only look for its own interests and those of Israel’s. It will go for resources especially oil and rare earth minerals, no matter where they are in the world. The US will keep countering China and Russia to make the world believe that (Unipolarity Still exists) and USA is the Sole Super Power.
China, Russia and Europe will also safeguard their interests in their respective regions and the world at large, it can be predicted that the world is inching towards a major Global Conflict which may convert into a third world war or an Armageddon.
