UN: Former US President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee and Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris remain deadlocked in two polls released Thursday, but the Democratic nominee maintains a 4-point lead in the battleground state of Pennsylvania. (A battleground state where the number of Democratic and Republican voters is about equal, meaning it has an important influence on the outcome of the US presidential election). Trump and Ms. Harris each have 47 percent of likely voter support nationally, while Harris leads Trump by 50 percent to 46 percent in the Keystone State, according to new data from The New York Times, Siena College and the Philadelphia Inquirer. The survey was conducted almost entirely before the former president was targeted in a second apparent assassination attempt on Sunday. Among registered voters nationally, Trump leads Ms. Harris 47 percent to 46 percent — little changed from a poll a week ago that showed Trump leading nationally among registered voters 48 percent to 46 percent. In late July, just after former President Biden ended his bid for the White House, the results were similar: Trump led Harris among registered voters 48 percent to 46 percent. All results are within error. The latest poll of likely voters shows Ms. Harris maintaining a solid lead among women over Trump, 53 percent to his 41 percent. Among adults 18-29, the vice president has 56 percent support, compared to 33 percent for the former president. Harris also has the support of 77 percent of black voters, compared to 14 percent who support Trump, the poll found. Trump, meanwhile, maintains a national lead among men at 52 percent to Harris’ 39 percent. Among people 65 and older, Trump has 50 percent support, compared to 44 percent for Ms. Harris. The former president also has the support of 53 percent of white voters, while 43 percent said they support Harris, the polls showed. In the Pennsylvania poll, Ms. Harris leads among similar demographics with the support of 57 percent of women, 61 percent of adults 18-29 and 82 percent of black voters. Trump has support in the state from 53 percent of men and 51 percent of white voters. Among seniors, however, the results are reversed, with Ms. Harris ahead of Trump, 50 percent to 47 percent. Miss Harris has also enjoyed a surge in her popularity since early July in Pennsylvania. In the new survey, 51 percent perceive her positively, compared to 42 percent at the beginning of July. Nationally, a similar 48 percent of likely voters have a favorable opinion of the vice president. Trump’s approval rating has also improved nationally, with 47 percent viewing him favorably — a level higher than when Biden was leading earlier this year. In The Hill/Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ) national average of opinion polls, Ms. Harris leads by 3.6 points, 49.7 percent, to Trump’s 46.1 percent. In Pennsylvania, the vice president maintains a slim one-point lead over the Republican presidential nominee, 48.8 percent to 47.8 percent, the DDHQ polling index shows. The poll, conducted Sept. 11-16, included interviews with 2,437 likely voters nationwide, including a survey of 1,082 voters in Pennsylvania. The margin of error for the national poll is 3 percentage points and 3.8 percentage points for the Pennsylvania poll.
